Politics · Open for opinions
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 14 percentage points?
If the Democratic minus Republican margin in the national House popular vote is at least 14 percentage points in the November 3,… 78 opinions, 60% Yes
- Yes — 60%
- No — 40%
Deadline: February 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM UTC · 78 opinions
Resolution rules
If the Democratic minus Republican margin in the national House popular vote is at least 14 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: kalshi.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
A verifiable fact decides the outcome, such as a final score, a price or an official announcement. Once it happens, the event is marked as resolved and the correct option is shown on this page.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 60% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 40 points, a wrong one costs about 60.