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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the IPCA for October 2026 be above 0.50%?

September 2026 inflation came in stronger than expected, putting pressure on the economic debate on the eve of the elections. 69 opinions, 67% Yes

  • Yes — 67%
  • No — 33%

Deadline: November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 69 opinions

Resolution rules

September 2026 inflation came in stronger than expected, putting pressure on the economic debate on the eve of the elections. Arminio Fraga compared Brazil to a 42-degree fever and warned of the need for fiscal adjustment, signaling an environment of persistent inflationary pressure.

Source: tvsimbrasil.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se o IPCA de outubro de 2026, divulgado pelo IBGE, for superior a 0,50%. Resolve como 'Não' caso contrário. Fonte oficial: IBGE (ibge.gov.br), divulgação prevista para meados de novembro de 2026.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 67% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 33 points, a wrong one costs about 67.

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Will the IPCA for October 2026 be above 0.50%? — 67% Yes · VoxFi