Finance · Open for opinions
Which asset will have the highest cumulative return in 2026: Bitcoin, Gold, or S&P 500?
Polymarket shows an active market comparing Bitcoin, Gold, and S&P 500 in 2026, with volume of $872k and liquidity of $55k. 25 opinions, 40% Bitcoin
- Bitcoin — 40%
- Gold — 32%
- S&P 500 (SPY) — 28%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 25 opinions
Resolution rules
Polymarket shows an active market comparing Bitcoin, Gold, and S&P 500 in 2026, with volume of $872k and liquidity of $55k. Bitcoin leads with 68% implied probability according to the site on 07/29/2026.
Source: polymarket.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base no retorno percentual acumulado de 1º de janeiro a 31 de dezembro de 2026. Bitcoin: variação do preço em USD conforme CoinMarketCap. Ouro: variação do preço spot LBMA. S&P 500: variação do ETF SPY (fechamento). O ativo com maior retorno percentual no período vence.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Bitcoin has 40% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 60 points, a wrong one costs about 40.