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Will the U.S. 4th Circuit Court issue a decision in the case involving prediction markets and Baltimore by February 14, 2027?
Baltimore filed a lawsuit against Kalshi and Polymarket in August 2026, while the 4th Circuit is already reviewing a related state… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: February 14, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Baltimore filed a lawsuit against Kalshi and Polymarket in August 2026, while the 4th Circuit is already reviewing a related state case. Kalshi classifies the actions as 'political theater' by the mayor.
Source: thedailyrecord.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o United States Court of Appeals for the Fourth Circuit publicar acórdão formal no processo relacionado a Baltimore versus mercados de previsão (Kalshi/Polymarket) até 14/02/2027, conforme registros do PACER ou comunicado oficial do tribunal. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.