Finance · Open for opinions
Will the 12-month accumulated IPCA be above 5% in the October 2026 release?
Brazilian inflation measured by the IPCA is monitored monthly by IBGE. 81 opinions, 51% No
- Yes — 49%
- No — 51%
Deadline: November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 81 opinions
Resolution rules
Brazilian inflation measured by the IPCA is monitored monthly by IBGE. The 2026 political and fiscal environment may put pressure on prices.
Source: www1.folha.uol.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o IBGE divulgar IPCA acumulado em 12 meses superior a 5,00% na nota de divulgação do índice de outubro de 2026 (prevista para novembro de 2026). Fonte: ibge.gov.br.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 51% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 49 points, a wrong one costs about 51.