Politics · Open for opinions
Will Republicans maintain control of the U.S. House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms?
The 2026 midterms are in the spotlight of prediction markets. 26 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: November 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 26 opinions
Resolution rules
The 2026 midterms are in the spotlight of prediction markets. Kalshi, Polymarket, and DoubleZero are seeing strong trading volume in contracts tied to control of the U.S. Congress.
Source: www.mcall.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o Partido Republicano obtiver maioria de assentos na Câmara dos Representantes dos EUA (218 ou mais) após a apuração oficial das eleições de novembro de 2026, conforme confirmado pela Associated Press ou pela Câmara dos EUA (house.gov). Resolve 'Não' caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.