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Will the US Congress have split control between the parties after the November 3, 2026 elections?

Prediction markets trade on the hypothesis of a divided Congress amid high volumes of speculation for the legislative elections. 81 opinions, 72% No

  • Yes — 28%
  • No — 72%

Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 81 opinions

Resolution rules

Prediction markets trade on the hypothesis of a divided Congress amid high volumes of speculation for the legislative elections.

Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se os resultados das eleições de 03/11/2026 definirem que a maioria da Câmara dos Representantes e a maioria do Senado dos EUA pertencerão a partidos políticos distintos (Democrata e Republicano), conforme projeções oficiais da Associated Press (AP), Reuters ou CNN até 30/11/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 72% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 28 points, a wrong one costs about 72.

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