World · Open for opinions
Will US inflation (PCE or CPI index) fall below 3.5% by the end of 2026?
US inflation reached 4.2% in May 2026, the highest level in three years, driven by energy costs linked to tensions in the Middle East. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
US inflation reached 4.2% in May 2026, the highest level in three years, driven by energy costs linked to tensions in the Middle East. The Fed signals a possible rate hike to curb price increases.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se qualquer leitura mensal do índice CPI anualizado (divulgado pelo Bureau of Labor Statistics, bls.gov) registrar valor abaixo de 3,5% em qualquer mês até dezembro de 2026. Resolve como 'Não' se todas as leituras até 2026-12-31 permanecerem em 3,5% ou acima.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.