Finance · Open for opinions
Will a barrel of Brent crude oil close at US$110 or more on any trading day between 09/14 and 10/31/2026?
Due to growing tensions in the Strait of Hormuz involving the US and Iran, oil futures are already trading above the US$100 mark. 31 opinions, 65% No
- Yes — 35%
- No — 65%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 31 opinions
Resolution rules
Due to growing tensions in the Strait of Hormuz involving the US and Iran, oil futures are already trading above the US$100 mark.
Source: www.aljazeera.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 14/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o preço de fechamento do barril de petróleo Brent for igual ou superior a US$ 110,00 em qualquer pregão na janela. A verificação será feita pelo dado oficial de fechamento da ICE Futures Europe, via Bloomberg ou Reuters (preços intradiários não valem). Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.