Technology · Open for opinions
Will the Pentagon publish a tender or contract for an AI lie detector by October 31, 2026?
Consider official government procurement actions between 09/29 and 10/31 following the Pentagon's AI budget proposal. 72 opinions, 65% No
- Yes — 35%
- No — 65%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 72 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider official government procurement actions between 09/29 and 10/31 following the Pentagon's AI budget proposal.
Source: wp.technologyreview.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 29/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o Departamento de Defesa dos EUA publicar edital ou concessão de contrato de ao menos US$ 30 milhões para sistema de detecção de mentiras por IA até 31/10/2026, conforme registros oficiais no portal defense.gov ou sam.gov. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.