Finance · Open for opinions
Will the Brazilian central government's primary deficit in 2026 be within the target established by the fiscal framework?
Financial markets and experts point out that Lula's campaign promises could generate significant budgetary impacts, jeopardizing… 87 opinions, 66% No
- Yes — 34%
- No — 66%
Deadline: March 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions
Resolution rules
Financial markets and experts point out that Lula's campaign promises could generate significant budgetary impacts, jeopardizing compliance with fiscal targets for 2026 and 2027.
Source: www1.folha.uol.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o resultado primário do governo central (Tesouro Nacional, INSS e Banco Central) referente ao exercício de 2026 ficar dentro da banda de tolerância da meta fixada pelo arcabouço fiscal vigente, conforme divulgado pelo Tesouro Nacional no relatório anual de resultado primário (publicado até março de 2027). Resolve 'Não' caso o resultado fique fora da banda.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 66% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 34 points, a wrong one costs about 66.