World · Open for opinions
Will the US annual inflation rate (CPI) reach 2.4% or lower in any monthly release by March 2027?
Economists surveyed by Bloomberg project US inflation at 2.4% per year by the autumn of 2027. 86 opinions, 74% No
- Yes — 26%
- No — 74%
Deadline: March 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 86 opinions
Resolution rules
Economists surveyed by Bloomberg project US inflation at 2.4% per year by the autumn of 2027. The current rate exceeds median wage growth by more than twice, according to the Washington Post of 10/24/2026.
Source: www.washingtonpost.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) dos EUA publicar uma leitura do CPI anual (variação em 12 meses, índice geral) igual ou inferior a 2,4% em qualquer divulgação mensal referente a período até março de 2027. Fonte oficial: bls.gov. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 74% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 26 points, a wrong one costs about 74.