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Will the Fed Funds rate exceed 4.25% by April 2027?

With the current rate at 3.75%–4.00% and most Fed officials signaling the need for further tightening, analysts are debating the pace… 87 opinions, 60% No

  • Yes — 40%
  • No — 60%

Deadline: April 27, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions

Resolution rules

With the current rate at 3.75%–4.00% and most Fed officials signaling the need for further tightening, analysts are debating the pace of hikes in the coming months amid persistent inflation and political pressures on the central bank's independence.

Source: www.houstonchronicle.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se o limite superior da faixa-alvo dos Fed Funds superar 4,25% em qualquer reunião do FOMC realizada até 27 de abril de 2027, conforme comunicados oficiais publicados em federalreserve.gov.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 60% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 40 points, a wrong one costs about 60.

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Will the Fed Funds rate exceed 4.25% by April 2027? — 60% No · VoxFi