Politics · Open for opinions
Will California pass legislation regulating prediction markets by December 31, 2026?
The Coalition for Prediction Markets, founded in December 2025 and including Kalshi, Coinbase, Robinhood, and others, has initiated a… 23 opinions, 52% No
- Yes — 48%
- No — 52%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 23 opinions
Resolution rules
The Coalition for Prediction Markets, founded in December 2025 and including Kalshi, Coinbase, Robinhood, and others, has initiated a lobbying campaign at the state and federal level. California is one of the priority targets amid growing regulatory pressure.
Source: www.sportico.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o Legislativo da Califórnia aprovar e o governador sancionar uma lei que formalmente regulamente ou licencie plataformas de mercados de previsão no estado até 31 de dezembro de 2026, conforme fontes oficiais do governo estadual ou diário oficial californiano. Resolve como 'Não' caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.