Finance · Open for opinions
Will the Ibovespa close above 196,000 points on any trading day between 09/01 and 10/31/2026?
With the strong flow of options buying for EWZ and Petrobras pulling the index (as reported), the market assesses whether the… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
With the strong flow of options buying for EWZ and Petrobras pulling the index (as reported), the market assesses whether the Ibovespa rally will hold in the coming months.
Source: valor.globo.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 01/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o índice Bovespa (Ibovespa) encerrar qualquer pregão regular com pontuação oficial de fechamento igual ou superior a 196.000,00 pontos até 31/10/2026. A verificação será feita exclusivamente pelos dados de fechamento diário publicados no site oficial da B3. Pontuações intradiárias não serão consideradas. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.