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Will US headline PCE inflation be above 2.5% year-over-year in August 2026?

In July 2026, the headline PCE registered an annual increase of 2.6% and core PCE rose 2.9% year-over-year, both above the Fed's 2%… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

In July 2026, the headline PCE registered an annual increase of 2.6% and core PCE rose 2.9% year-over-year, both above the Fed's 2% target, maintaining pressure on US monetary policy.

Source: www.facebook.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se o índice PCE headline anual de agosto de 2026 superar 2,5%, conforme divulgação oficial do Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). Fonte: bea.gov.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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