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Will US inflation (annual CPI) in October 2026 be above 3.7%?

US CPI reached 3.7% in September 2026 (compared to 3.4% in August), driven by gasoline and other goods. 82 opinions, 57% No

  • Yes — 43%
  • No — 57%

Deadline: November 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 82 opinions

Resolution rules

US CPI reached 3.7% in September 2026 (compared to 3.4% in August), driven by gasoline and other goods. The conflict in Iran maintains pressure on energy prices, and the market awaits the October data to calibrate expectations for Fed monetary policy.

Source: www.courthousenews.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se o índice de preços ao consumidor (CPI) dos EUA referente a outubro de 2026 registrar variação anual superior a 3,7%, conforme divulgação oficial do Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) em novembro de 2026 (bls.gov).

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 57% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 43 points, a wrong one costs about 57.

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