Science · Open for opinions
Will NOAA maintain an active El Niño alert in its official October 2026 report?
Consider NOAA's official climate update on El Niño between 09/25/2026 and 10/31/2026. 72 opinions, 66% Yes
- Yes — 66%
- No — 34%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 72 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider NOAA's official climate update on El Niño between 09/25/2026 and 10/31/2026.
Source: www.sciencenews.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 25/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a NOAA/CPC mantiver o status de 'El Niño Advisory' ou registrar formalmente a continuidade do evento no relatório ENSO Diagnostic Discussion divulgado em seu site oficial até 31/10/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 66% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 34 points, a wrong one costs about 66.