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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the Federal Reserve raise the interest rate (Fed Funds Rate) at least one more time before the end of 2026?

The Fed has been raising interest rates in response to persistent inflation. 88 opinions, 58% Yes

  • Yes — 58%
  • No — 42%

Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 88 opinions

Resolution rules

The Fed has been raising interest rates in response to persistent inflation. The 10-year Treasury yield is at 5.3% — the highest since before the 2008 crisis — signaling market expectations of higher interest rates for longer.

Source: english.elpais.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido como 'Sim' se o Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) anunciar ao menos um aumento da taxa de juros dos fed funds em qualquer reunião restante de 2026 (previstas para novembro e dezembro). Fonte oficial: comunicados do FOMC em federalreserve.gov.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 58% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 42 points, a wrong one costs about 58.

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