Science · Open for opinions
Will NOAA maintain the 'El Niño Advisory' condition in its climate diagnosis until 10/31/2026?
Ongoing drought impacts and changes in rainfall patterns keep the official monitoring of El Niño's evolution in focus. 58 opinions, 60% Yes
- Yes — 60%
- No — 40%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 58 opinions
Resolution rules
Ongoing drought impacts and changes in rainfall patterns keep the official monitoring of El Niño's evolution in focus.
Source: metsul.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 21/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o Climate Prediction Center da NOAA mantiver ou emitir o status oficial de 'El Niño Advisory' em seu relatório ENSO Diagnostic Discussion até 31/10/2026, conforme divulgado no site oficial da NOAA. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 60% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 40 points, a wrong one costs about 60.