Finance · Open for opinions
Will Kalshi maintain a market share above 75% versus Polymarket in October 2026?
In September 2026, Kalshi holds 82% of the combined market share with Polymarket, according to DeFi Rate data, reflecting… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
In September 2026, Kalshi holds 82% of the combined market share with Polymarket, according to DeFi Rate data, reflecting significant growth of the regulated platform.
Source: defirate.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o market share do Kalshi em relação ao Polymarket divulgado pelo DeFi Rate (defirate.com/prediction-markets/volume/polymarket/) referente ao mês de outubro de 2026 for superior a 75%. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.