World · Open for opinions
Will China and Japan announce an agreement to ease rare earth trade by November 30, 2026?
Consider a bilateral announcement of relief on trade restrictions of critical minerals between 10/09 and 11/30. 79 opinions, 65% No
- Yes — 35%
- No — 65%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider a bilateral announcement of relief on trade restrictions of critical minerals between 10/09 and 11/30.
Source: www.reuters.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 09/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos anteriores não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se os governos de China e Japão anunciarem formalmente um pacto ou flexibilização das restrições de exportação de terras raras até 30/11/2026, conforme confirmado pelo Ministério do Comércio da China (MOFCOM), METI do Japão ou Reuters. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.