Finance · Open for opinions
Which prediction market platform will have the highest trading volume in Q1 2027?
Kalshi and Polymarket are the two largest prediction market platforms in the world. 52 opinions, 56% Polymarket
- Kalshi — 35%
- Polymarket — 56%
- Other platform — 10%
Deadline: April 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 52 opinions
Resolution rules
Kalshi and Polymarket are the two largest prediction market platforms in the world. In 2024, Polymarket recorded a volume of approximately 4 billion dollars. The race for market leadership is fierce, especially with Kalshi's expansion into the US sports segment.
Source: www.si.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base no volume total de negociação (em dólares) reportado publicamente pelas próprias plataformas ou por análise independente reconhecida (ex.: Dune Analytics, relatório de mídia financeira especializada) referente ao período de janeiro a março de 2027.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Polymarket has 56% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 44 points, a wrong one costs about 56.