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Science · Open for opinions

Will NOAA declare September 2026 the hottest September on record by 31/10/2026?

With recent feedback alerts accelerating warming, NOAA's next climate report will test the scenario. 27 opinions, 67% Yes

  • Yes — 67%
  • No — 33%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 27 opinions

Resolution rules

With recent feedback alerts accelerating warming, NOAA's next climate report will test the scenario. Considers releases between 12/09 and 31/10/2026.

Source: www.newscientist.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 12/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a NOAA atestar em seu 'Global Climate Report', publicado até 31/10/2026, que a temperatura global de setembro de 2026 foi a mais alta já registrada para o mês. A fonte oficial será o site da agência (ncei.noaa.gov). Empate no 1º lugar conta. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 67% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 33 points, a wrong one costs about 67.

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