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Will the U.S. national average gas price exceed $5.00 per gallon before the end of 2026?

The national average gas price in the U.S. 72 opinions, 53% No

  • Yes — 47%
  • No — 53%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 72 opinions

Resolution rules

The national average gas price in the U.S. is already at $4.52/gallon following an increase of ~50% since the start of the Trump administration, driven by the conflict with Iran and rising fuel costs, according to AAA data cited by the Governor of California.

Source: www.facebook.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução 'Sim' se a média nacional de preço da gasolina regular (all grades) divulgada pela AAA (gasprices.aaa.com) registrar valor igual ou superior a US$ 5,00/galão em qualquer dia até 31/12/2026. Caso contrário, 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 53% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 47 points, a wrong one costs about 53.

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Will the U.S. national average gas price exceed $5.00 per gallon… — 53% No · VoxFi