Politics · Open for opinions
Will the U.S. Congress approve a pay raise for members of Congress by the end of 2026?
Market on Kalshi prices a 52% probability for a congressional pay raise, with $774 volume traded across 4 distinct contracts. 21 opinions, 52% Yes
- Yes — 52%
- No — 48%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 21 opinions
Resolution rules
Market on Kalshi prices a 52% probability for a congressional pay raise, with $774 volume traded across 4 distinct contracts.
Source: kalshi.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido como 'Sim' se legislação aumentando os salários de membros do Congresso dos EUA for sancionada pelo presidente até 31/12/2026, conforme registro no Congressional Record ou publicação no Federal Register.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.