Science · Open for opinions
Will the NHC record at least one official hurricane in the North Atlantic between 10/05 and 10/31/2026?
Consider records between 10/05 and 10/31 after September closed without any Atlantic hurricanes for the first time in decades. 76 opinions, 61% No
- Yes — 39%
- No — 61%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 76 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider records between 10/05 and 10/31 after September closed without any Atlantic hurricanes for the first time in decades.
Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 05/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o National Hurricane Center (NHC/NOAA) classificar oficialmente ao menos um ciclone tropical na bacia do Oceano Atlântico Norte como furacão (categoria 1 ou superior na escala Saffir-Simpson) até 31/10/2026, conforme dados e avisos oficiais no site do NHC. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 61% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 39 points, a wrong one costs about 61.