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Finance · Open for opinions

Will California pass specific regulation for prediction market platforms by March 2027?

Platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi are expanding in California, with growing user interest and ongoing regulatory debate. 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: March 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

Platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi are expanding in California, with growing user interest and ongoing regulatory debate. A bipartisan group of states seeks to take over oversight of these platforms, making California one of the most relevant markets to watch.

Source: www.rotowire.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução baseada em promulgação de lei estadual ou regulamentação formal pela Califórnia (publicada no California Legislative Information ou pelo Department of Financial Protection and Innovation — DFPI) específica para mercados de previsão até 2027-03-01.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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Will California pass specific regulation for prediction market… — 50% Yes · VoxFi