Science · Open for opinions
Will NOAA declare the official formation of the La Niña phenomenon between 09/12 and 10/31/2026?
After the global repercussions of the last El Niño and its severe effects on the climate in Africa, the world awaits weather reports… 27 opinions, 70% Yes
- Yes — 70%
- No — 30%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 27 opinions
Resolution rules
After the global repercussions of the last El Niño and its severe effects on the climate in Africa, the world awaits weather reports to confirm whether the cooling of the waters will configure the La Niña phenomenon this year.
Source: www.nature.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 12/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o Climate Prediction Center da NOAA divulgar um "La Niña Advisory" oficial, confirmando a formação do fenômeno La Niña. Fonte de verificação: relatórios do CPC/NOAA (cpc.ncep.noaa.gov) lançados até 31/10/2026. A manutenção de Neutralidade, El Niño ou apenas La Niña Watch cancela o gatilho. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 70% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 30 points, a wrong one costs about 70.