Science · Open for opinions
Will the annual minimum Arctic sea ice extent in 2026 be lower than the historical record set in September 2012?
A new study published in September 2026 (ScienceDaily) revealed changes in the seasonality of Arctic melting, with pattern shifts… 57 opinions, 81% No
- Yes — 19%
- No — 81%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 57 opinions
Resolution rules
A new study published in September 2026 (ScienceDaily) revealed changes in the seasonality of Arctic melting, with pattern shifts observed since around 2010, reviving the debate over new record ice minimums.
Source: www.sciencedaily.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o Centro Nacional de Dados de Neve e Gelo dos EUA (NSIDC) confirmar que o mínimo anual de extensão de gelo marinho no Ártico em 2026 for inferior a 3,41 milhões de km², valor do recorde de setembro de 2012. Resolve como 'Não' caso contrário. Fonte: relatório oficial do NSIDC (nsidc.org).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 81% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 19 points, a wrong one costs about 81.