Finance · Open for opinions
Will the total betting volume in prediction markets on the 2026 US midterm elections exceed $2 billion by election day?
Political prediction platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi are seeing record volumes as the 2026 US midterm elections approach. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: November 3, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Political prediction platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi are seeing record volumes as the 2026 US midterm elections approach. Sports betting apps are also expanding into political predictions, broadening the market.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se a soma do volume apostado nos mercados de eleição de meio de mandato 2026 (midterms) nas plataformas Kalshi e Polymarket combinadas atingir ou superar US$ 2 bilhões até 3 de novembro de 2026. Fonte: dados públicos on-chain do Polymarket e relatórios públicos da Kalshi. Em caso de ausência de dado consolidado oficial, utilizar análise de veículos especializados como Bloomberg ou Reuters que reportem os volumes.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.