Politics · Open for opinions
Will the total volume bet on Polymarket's US midterm election prediction markets exceed $250 million by October 31, 2026?
By August 10, 2026, at least $133 million had been bet on 7,466 congressional markets on Polymarket, with 1% of wallets controlling… 37 opinions, 65% Yes
- Yes — 65%
- No — 35%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 37 opinions
Resolution rules
By August 10, 2026, at least $133 million had been bet on 7,466 congressional markets on Polymarket, with 1% of wallets controlling most of the volume, sparking debate about concentration and representativeness.
Source: cryptorank.io
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o volume agregado de apostas nos mercados de previsão do Polymarket referentes às eleições legislativas de meio de mandato dos EUA (congressos/senado 2026) atingir US$ 250 milhões até 31/10/2026, conforme dados públicos do painel do Polymarket (polymarket.com) ou relatório de fonte especializada verificável como CryptoSlate ou Dune Analytics. Resolve 'Não' caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.