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Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates again before the end of 2026?

The Fed raised interest rates by 0.25 percentage points on 09/16/2026, defying Trump, citing persistent inflation and rising energy… 37 opinions, 54% Yes

  • Yes — 54%
  • No — 46%

Deadline: December 18, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 37 opinions

Resolution rules

The Fed raised interest rates by 0.25 percentage points on 09/16/2026, defying Trump, citing persistent inflation and rising energy prices caused by the Iran War. President Trump publicly criticized the decision and revealed he had spoken with Chair Kevin Warsh before the vote.

Source: www.federalreserve.gov

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido como 'Sim' se o comunicado oficial do FOMC publicado em federalreserve.gov até 31/12/2026 anunciar nova elevação da taxa dos fed funds acima da faixa atual de 3,75%-4,00%. Fonte primária: federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 54% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 46 points, a wrong one costs about 54.

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Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates again before the end… — 54% Yes · VoxFi