Politics · Open for opinions
Will ESMA publish formal regulation banning prediction markets in the European Union by December 2026?
ESMA has clarified that certain contracts on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket may fall under the European ban on binary options. 23 opinions, 52% No
- Yes — 48%
- No — 52%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 23 opinions
Resolution rules
ESMA has clarified that certain contracts on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket may fall under the European ban on binary options. A formal regulatory decision is still pending.
Source: www.trendingtopics.eu
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolúvel por publicação oficial da ESMA no Jornal Oficial da UE ou comunicado formal confirmando proibição de contratos de mercados de previsão enquadrados como binary options na UE até 31/12/2026. Fonte: site oficial da ESMA (esma.europa.eu).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.