World · Open for opinions
Will the US and Iran announce an official ceasefire agreement by 10/31/2026?
Market focused on the unfolding of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and possible peace negotiations. 24 opinions, 67% No
- Yes — 33%
- No — 67%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 24 opinions
Resolution rules
Market focused on the unfolding of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and possible peace negotiations.
Source: previsao.io
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 10/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se EUA e Irã anunciarem oficialmente um cessar-fogo ou trégua mútua de pelo menos duas semanas, com vigência iniciada até o prazo-limite. A verificação será feita via comunicados oficiais do Departamento de Estado dos EUA, governo iraniano, ou pelas agências de notícias Reuters, AP ou AFP. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 67% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 33 points, a wrong one costs about 67.