World · Open for opinions
Will US GDP record positive growth in the third quarter of 2026 (July–September)?
Analysts debate whether the US economy will achieve a 'soft landing' — inflation returning to the Fed's target without entering a… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Analysts debate whether the US economy will achieve a 'soft landing' — inflation returning to the Fed's target without entering a recession — amid external shocks such as the conflict with Iran and rising fuel prices.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolver com base na estimativa preliminar (advance estimate) do PIB do terceiro trimestre de 2026, divulgada pelo Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) em bea.gov. Se a variação anualizada for positiva (acima de 0%), resolve 'Sim'; se for zero ou negativa, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.