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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the commercial dollar exceed R$ 5.50 before December 31, 2026?

The commercial dollar closed at R$ 5.22 on 09/29/2026, up 0.85% on the day. 72 opinions, 63% No

  • Yes — 38%
  • No — 63%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 72 opinions

Resolution rules

The commercial dollar closed at R$ 5.22 on 09/29/2026, up 0.85% on the day. External pressures (Treasuries, oil) and the internal political environment keep the exchange rate under pressure.

Source: valor.globo.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se a cotação do dólar comercial (PTAX de venda, divulgada pelo Banco Central do Brasil em bcb.gov.br) registrar valor igual ou superior a R$ 5,50 em qualquer dia útil até 31/12/2026.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 63% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 37 points, a wrong one costs about 63.

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