Finance · Open for opinions
Will the USD/BRL exchange rate exceed R$ 6.20 by the end of 2026?
The exchange rate between the real and the dollar is monitored daily by Folha de S.Paulo and reflects the Brazilian fiscal scenario,… 88 opinions, 55% No
- Yes — 45%
- No — 55%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 88 opinions
Resolution rules
The exchange rate between the real and the dollar is monitored daily by Folha de S.Paulo and reflects the Brazilian fiscal scenario, the Fed's monetary policy, and capital flows to emerging markets.
Source: www.folha.uol.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base na cotação oficial de fechamento do dólar comercial (PTAX) divulgada pelo Banco Central do Brasil em bcb.gov.br. Se o dólar fechar acima de R$ 6,20 em qualquer dia útil até 31/12/2026, resolve 'Sim'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.