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Will Lithuania or Poland announce a total transit blockade to Kaliningrad by October 31, 2026?

Considers border transit measures between 10/01 and 10/31 amid nuclear alerts issued by Moscow to NATO. 74 opinions, 85% No

  • Yes — 15%
  • No — 85%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 74 opinions

Resolution rules

Considers border transit measures between 10/01 and 10/31 amid nuclear alerts issued by Moscow to NATO.

Source: 10things.news

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 01/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos anteriores não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se as autoridades oficiais da Lituânia ou da Polônia decretarem o fechamento total do trânsito terrestre ou ferroviário civil para o enclave de Kaliningrado até 31/10/2026, conforme portais governamentais oficiais ou Reuters, AFP e AP. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 85% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 15 points, a wrong one costs about 85.

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Will Lithuania or Poland announce a total transit blockade to… — 85% No · VoxFi