World · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve cut the benchmark interest rate at the December 2026 meeting?
The Fed left interest rates steady at its final meeting before the November 2026 midterm elections, as inflation reaccelerated to… 87 opinions, 72% No
- Yes — 28%
- No — 72%
Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions
Resolution rules
The Fed left interest rates steady at its final meeting before the November 2026 midterm elections, as inflation reaccelerated to 3.6% in September and GDP grew 3.4% in the third quarter.
Source: www.theguardian.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido com base na decisão oficial do FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) divulgada em dezembro de 2026. Se a meta da taxa dos Fed Funds for reduzida em qualquer magnitude em relação ao nível vigente em novembro de 2026, resolve 'Sim'; caso contrário, 'Não'. Fonte: comunicado oficial do Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 72% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 28 points, a wrong one costs about 72.