Science · Open for opinions
Will SpaceX's Starship complete its first orbital flight by October 31, 2026?
Considers Starship launches and operational tests between 09/20 and 10/31. 42 opinions, 55% No
- Yes — 45%
- No — 55%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 42 opinions
Resolution rules
Considers Starship launches and operational tests between 09/20 and 10/31.
Source: www.newscientist.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 20/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a SpaceX realizar o lançamento do Starship e alcançar com sucesso a órbita da Terra até 31/10/2026, conforme comunicado oficial da SpaceX ou relatórios da FAA. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.