Science · Open for opinions
Will any official weather station in Paraná accumulate more than 500 mm of rain in total for October 2026?
Consider data from weather stations in Paraná between 10/16 and 10/31 in light of extreme rainfall alerts caused by El Niño. 81 opinions, 65% Yes
- Yes — 65%
- No — 35%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 81 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider data from weather stations in Paraná between 10/16 and 10/31 in light of extreme rainfall alerts caused by El Niño.
Source: metsul.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 16/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Resolve como 'Sim' se qualquer estação meteorológica oficial monitorada pelo INMET ou SIMEPAR no estado do Paraná registrar acumulado total de precipitação igual ou superior a 500,0 mm ao longo do mês de outubro de 2026, com dados consolidados até 31/10/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.