Finance · Open for opinions
Will any U.S. state succeed in getting a court to suspend Kalshi or Polymarket operations by December 31, 2026?
Multiple U.S. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Multiple U.S. states, both Republican and Democratic, have filed lawsuits against Kalshi and Polymarket, alleging that the platforms operate as illegal sports betting. The scenario is a widespread legal battle opened in August 2026.
Source: www.nytimes.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se uma ordem judicial transitada em julgado ou liminar vigente suspender as operações da Kalshi ou da Polymarket em pelo menos um estado dos EUA até 31/12/2026, conforme reportagem de veículo jornalístico de referência (NYT, Reuters, AP) ou comunicado oficial de tribunal. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.