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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the price of Brent crude oil (ICE) close above US$ 100 per barrel on any trading day between 09/10 and 10/31/2026?

The barrel surpassed the US$ 101 mark amid escalating tensions between the US and Iran and fears over routes in the Middle East. 23 opinions, 74% Yes

  • Yes — 74%
  • No — 26%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 23 opinions

Resolution rules

The barrel surpassed the US$ 101 mark amid escalating tensions between the US and Iran and fears over routes in the Middle East.

Source: apnews.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 10/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o contrato futuro de 1º vencimento do petróleo Brent (ICE Brent Crude) encerrar qualquer pregão da janela com preço de fechamento oficial superior a US$ 100. A fonte oficial será a Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) ou o terminal Bloomberg/Reuters. Picos intradiários não valem. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 74% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 26 points, a wrong one costs about 74.

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Will the price of Brent crude oil (ICE) close above US$ 100 per… — 74% Yes · VoxFi