Finance · Open for opinions
Will the global weekly prediction market volume stay above $10 billion during the NFL season (September–November 2026)?
Prediction market volume rebounded above $10 billion in the week of 08/10/2026, with political markets leading, and the arrival of… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: November 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Prediction market volume rebounded above $10 billion in the week of 08/10/2026, with political markets leading, and the arrival of the NFL season tends to further boost demand for sports contracts.
Source: defirate.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se ao menos 8 das 10 semanas entre 06/09/2026 e 15/11/2026 registrarem volume semanal agregado superior a US$ 10 bilhões nos principais mercados de previsão (Kalshi + Polymarket), conforme relatórios publicados por DeFiRate ou fontes equivalentes. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.