World · Open for opinions
Will the US PCE inflation rate in October 2026 be higher than 3.6% (the rate recorded in September 2026)?
PCE accelerated from 3.4% in August to 3.6% in September 2026, driven by elevated energy prices following tensions in the Middle… 87 opinions, 57% No
- Yes — 43%
- No — 57%
Deadline: December 5, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions
Resolution rules
PCE accelerated from 3.4% in August to 3.6% in September 2026, driven by elevated energy prices following tensions in the Middle East, with oil above $100 a barrel.
Source: www.pbs.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido com base no relatório mensal de inflação PCE divulgado pelo Departamento de Comércio dos EUA (bea.gov). 'Sim' se a variação anual do PCE de outubro de 2026 superar 3,6%; 'Não' caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 57% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 43 points, a wrong one costs about 57.