Finance · Open for opinions
Will the CFTC publish a final rule restricting election contract markets by November 30, 2026?
Pressure from Democratic senators and increased lobbying spending by Kalshi in Congress are raising expectations regarding the… 87 opinions, 55% No
- Yes — 45%
- No — 55%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 87 opinions
Resolution rules
Pressure from Democratic senators and increased lobbying spending by Kalshi in Congress are raising expectations regarding the regulatory decision.
Source: legis1.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 27/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Commodity Futures participação Commission (CFTC) publicar no Federal Register uma regra final proibindo ou limitando contratos de eventos eleitorais até 30/11/2026, conforme divulgado no site oficial cftc.gov. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.