Science · Open for opinions
Will the Clay Mathematics Institute confirm the validation of the solution to one of the Millennium Problems proposed by OpenAI by October 31, 2026?
Evaluates whether OpenAI's alleged solution to one of the Millennium Problems will receive rapid official validation by the Clay… 38 opinions, 84% No
- Yes — 16%
- No — 84%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 38 opinions
Resolution rules
Evaluates whether OpenAI's alleged solution to one of the Millennium Problems will receive rapid official validation by the Clay Mathematics Institute between 09/17 and 10/31.
Source: www.newscientist.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 17/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) publicar em seu site oficial (claymath.org) comunicado confirmando a validação por comitê de pares da solução apresentada pela OpenAI para um dos Problemas do Milênio até 31/10/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 84% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 16 points, a wrong one costs about 84.