Science · Open for opinions
Will any city in Paraná record more than 500 mm of rain in October 2026?
Considers official rainfall data recorded between 10/15 and 10/31 in view of the extreme accumulation alert in Paraná issued by… 81 opinions, 65% Yes
- Yes — 65%
- No — 35%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 81 opinions
Resolution rules
Considers official rainfall data recorded between 10/15 and 10/31 in view of the extreme accumulation alert in Paraná issued by MetSul.
Source: metsul.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 15/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se ao menos uma estação meteorológica oficial do Inmet ou do Simepar no estado do Paraná registrar acumulado total de chuva superior a 500,0 mm no mês de outubro até 31/10/2026, conforme dados oficiais divulgados pelo Simepar ou Inmet. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.