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Politics · Open for opinions

Will the internal crisis in the STF result in the formal removal of any minister from the Court by December 2026?

Two STF ministers accuse each other of criminal conduct and the Attorney General requested the archiving of a Federal Police… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

Two STF ministers accuse each other of criminal conduct and the Attorney General requested the archiving of a Federal Police investigation, generating an institutional crisis with international repercussions.

Source: www.cnnbrasil.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução baseada em comunicado oficial do STF, CNJ ou Senado Federal sobre afastamento (suspensão, licença compulsória ou impeachment) de qualquer ministro do STF em decorrência da crise institucional vigente. Mercado resolve 'Sim' se houver afastamento formal publicado no Diário da Justiça ou Diário Oficial da União até 31/12/2026. Fonte: stf.jus.br ou in.gov.br.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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